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Signals Blog | Article

How our C-Score predicted a 32% gain in Citi Trends (CTRN)

Aaron Harvey | 2 min read | Dec 03, 2024

The Signal: Buy

Performance: +32.12% in 33 days

Investors looking for opportunities in retail stocks often miss the signals hiding in plain sight. With our proprietary C-Score algorithm, we detected a clear buy signal for Citi Trends, leading to a 32% gain in just 33 days

CTRN_Chart.png

C-Score analysis:
  • Accuracy Score: We spotted a surge in consumer spending on affordable fashion during the back-to-school shopping season reflecting strong consumer demand for affordable fashion.
  • Market Score: CTRN’s stock was undervalued compared to its moving averages, signalling room for upside.
  • Delta Score: The company's preliminary sales data revealed a significant delta, suggesting better-than-expected earnings.
  • Relevancy Score: Our algorithm identified a direct link between Wall Street’s focus on comparable store sales and CTRN’s rising stock price.

Result: The combination of a seasonal sales boost, and improving market sentiment validated our buy signal, driving significant gains.

ROI Calculation:

  • Buy Signal Date: September 11, 2024, at $14.66 per share.
  • Sell Signal Date: October 14, 2024, at $19.37 per share.
  • Shares Purchased: 1,000.
  • Investment: $14,660.
  • Sale Proceeds: $19,370.
  • Profit: $4,710.
  • ROI: +32.12%

đź’ˇ By leveraging our C-Score, even a $14,660 investment in CTRN could have yielded a $4,710 profit in just over a month.

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